Everything you need to know about betting college football this season

0
34

It is a courageous new world for sports activities bettors within the U.S. as the school soccer season kicks off in full this weekend with authorized bookmakers working in a handful of latest states.

Along with Las Vegas, sportsbooks shall be up and working this weekend in casinos and racetracks in Delaware, Mississippi, New Jersey and West Virginia.

Tread calmly, although — Nevada sportsbooks have by no means had a shedding September. In reality, September has produced 4 of the highest 5 most profitable soccer months ever for Nevada books, together with a document $43.four million boon in September 2012.

Persistence, as you possibly can see, could be a advantage for brand spanking new bettors.

What are the most important wagers made to date to win the School Soccer Playoff? What are the betting variations in New Jersey and Nevada? Who’s getting essentially the most cash to win the Heisman? The place is the Week 1 motion going? Which groups have essentially the most NFL expertise?

These solutions and extra are under in our preseason faculty soccer Playing Manifesto.

Good luck this season!


The place the cash goes

Most bets to win the nationwide championship (at Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas as of Monday)

1. Ohio State
2. Georgia
three. Wisconsin
four. Washington
5. Clemson

Most cash wagered to win nationwide championship (at Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas as of Monday)

1. Alabama
2. Clemson
three. Auburn
four. Wisconsin
5. Georgia

• Extra bets have been positioned on Ohio State to win the nationwide championship at MGM sportsbooks as nicely.

• More cash has been wager on Clemson to win the nationwide championship than has been wager on every other staff at Caesars Palace, MGM and William Hill sportsbooks. The Tigers account for 22 p.c of the cash wagered on William Hill’s odds to win the nationwide championship within the firm’s sportsbooks in Nevada and New Jersey. At MGM, there may be roughly $three,000 extra on Clemson than Alabama at MGM books.

2 Related

• The Crimson Tide have attracted the most money at the Westgate and South Point sportsbooks. “We opened Alabama at 5-2 (to win the national championship) and immediately took a bet for two grand on Alabama,” said Westgate SuperBook director and oddsmaker John Murray. “That’s the kind of bets you see on Alabama.”

• Clemson opened as a +125 favorite at the Westgate to reach the College Football Playoff. The Tigers are now -180 to reach the playoff. “We took some sharp money on Clemson,” Murray added. “I think we opened Clemson a little bit too high, because we had guys immediately come in and bet them at +125 and even money.”

• More than half of the money wagered on the odds to win the national championship at DraftKings’ New Jersey sportsbook is on either Clemson or Alabama. The Tigers have attracted the most bets and the most money.

• More money has been wagered on Michigan to win the national championship than any other team at the FanDuel sportsbook at the Meadowlands in New Jersey.

• In South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews’ power ratings, Alabama is 1.5 points ahead of Clemson.

• The largest season-win total bet the Westgate SuperBook had taken was on Oregon State. A house player, meaning a VIP casino guest, bet to win $80,000 on the Beavers to win less than 2.5 games at -130.

• “A guy that I consider to be sharp, bet Oklahoma at 6-1 and 5-1 (to make the playoff). Right now, we’re down to 4-1 on Oklahoma,” Murray said.

• Alabama Crimson Tide QB Tua Tagovailoa is the co-favorite at 5-1 to win the Heisman trophy at Westgate, and has received the most money wagered (over 21 percent). Stanford RB Bryce Love is second with 10.9 percent of all money wagered, followed by Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor. The Westgate’s second-biggest liability is 50-1 longshot is UCF QB McKenzie Milton.

• Couple other popular public season win totals from Westgate, per Murray: South Carolina over 7, Michigan State over 8.5


Where you can bet college football now

It’s a brave new world after the Supreme Court overturned PASPA. Outside Nevada, legal sportsbooks will be up and running this weekend in casinos and racetracks in Delaware, Mississippi, New Jersey and West Virginia. In Mississippi, West Virginia and Nevada, you will be allowed to wager on college in-state teams (Marshall, Ole Miss, etc.). In New Jersey and Delaware, those odds won’t be offered at the sportsbooks.


Week 1 action

• Michigan at Notre Dame (-1): The showdown between the Wolverines and Fighting Irish is attracting the most action at the betting windows, heading into the first full college football weekend. The Westgate took sharp action on each side, causing the line to shift from Michigan -2.5 at its highest all the way to Notre Dame -1, where it sat Tuesday. MGM said three times as much money had been bet on Michigan-Notre Dame than any other of the Week 1 games as of Tuesday.

• William Hill and the FanDuel sportsbook in New Jersey also reported Michigan-Notre Dame as the most heavily bet game this weekend.

Bettors are lining up to bet Michigan-Notre Dame. Leon Halip/Getty Images

• MGM in Nevada reported taking “large wagers” on Monday from VIP casino customers on Minnesota, Iowa, Marshall, Stanford and Colorado.

• The South Point and William Hill sportsbooks each reported taking large parlay wagers featuring big favorites Ohio State and Wisconsin. William Hill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich told the Vegas Sports and Information Network that he accepted a $130,000 parlay bet on the Buckeyes and Badgers. South Point’s Andrews said on Twitter that he took a $10,000 parlay bet on Ohio State and Wisconsin. It was not known if it was the same bettor. Ohio State is a 38.5-point favorite over Oregon State. Wisconsin is a 37.5-point favorite over Western Kentucky.

• “One guy is going around town betting against USC on everything we have, Saturday’s game, their win total,” Andrews told ESPN. The Trojans are 26-point favorites over UNLV. USC’s win total is 8.5.


NFL talent

Teams with most NFL prospects (number of players in ESPN senior writer Todd McShay’s preseason top 150 draft prospects)

  • Alabama – 7

  • Stanford – 7

  • Clemson – 6

  • Mississippi State – 6

  • Notre Dame – 6

  • Florida – 5

  • Miami (Fla). – 5

  • Michigan – 5

  • Wisconsin – 5

All-conference talent

• Georgia had an SEC-high 12 players selected to the all-conference preseason coaches’ first and second teams. Alabama was next with 10, followed by Auburn with nine. The Crimson Tide put a league-leading five players on the first team.

• Florida Atlantic features the preseason Conference USA player of the year on offense and defense in running back Devin Singletary and linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair. Lane Kiffin’s Owls also have a league-high six players on the all-conference first team, selected by league coaches.

• Troy put a league-high 11 players on the Sun Belt preseason all-conference first and second teams.

• Boise State had a Mountain West-high seven players selected to the preseason all-conference first team, selected by the media.

• Oklahoma has five players on the Big 12 preseason all-conference first-team — all on offense. (Sooners punter/place kicker Austin Siebert was named to the first team at both positions).


Covering coaches

Best ATS record over past five seasons

1. Baylor’s Matt Rhule: 39-22-0 ATS
2. Iowa State’s Matt Campbell: 36-21-2 ATS
3. Wake Forest’s Dave Clawson: 37-23-1 ATS
4. Duke’s David Cutcliffe: 36-23-2 ATS
5. Minnesota’s P.J. Fleck: 30-19-0 ATS

Worst ATS record over past five seasons

1. Kentucky’s Mark Stoops: 24-36-0 ATS
2. Arizona’s Kevin Sumlin: 24-35-1 ATS
3. East Carolina’s Scottie Montgomery: 6-17-1 ATS
4. Hawaii’s Nick Rolovich: 6-17-1 ATS
5. SMU’s Sonny Dykes 19-29-0 ATS

Best ATS record at home over past five seasons

1. Iowa State’s Matt Campbell: 19-10-2 ATS
2. Tulane’s Willie Fritz: 15-7-1 ATS
3. Purdue’s Jeff Brohm: 16-8-0 ATS

Best ATS record on the road over past five seasons

1. Northern Illinois’ Rod Carey: 22-9-1 ATS
2. Baylor’s Matt Rhule: 20-9-0 ATS
3. Louisiana Tech’s Skip Holtz: 21-11-0 ATS

Best ATS record as favorite over past five seasons

1. Tulane’s Willie Fritz: 18-8-1 ATS
2. Arkansas State’s Blake Anderson: 22-12-0 ATS
3. Florida State’s Willie Taggart: 18-9-0 ATS

Best ATS record as underdog over past five seasons

1. Baylor’s Matt Rhule: 24-12-0 ATS
2. Wake Forest’s Dave Clawson: 22-13-1 ATS
3. Duke’s David Cutcliffe: 18-10-1 ATS

Best “over” coach in past five seasons

1. New Mexico State’s Doug Martin: 38-20-1 over/under
2. Louisiana-Monroe’s Matt Viator: 19-7 over/under
3. Ohio State’s Urban Meyer: 38-25 over/under

Best “under” coach in past five seasons

1. Duke’s David Cutcliffe: 40-20-0 under/over
2. Syracuse’s Dino Babers: 38-18-1 under/over
3. South Florida’s Charlie Strong: 39-20-0 under/over


By the numbers

• 9.2 percent: The percentage of regular-season games that were decided by three points last year, a three-year high. Seven was the most common margin of victory in 2016. Over the past three seasons, 8.3 percent of games have ended with a three-point margin of victory, and 8.1 percent of games have ended with a seven-point margin of victory, according to ESPN Stats & Information.

• 128: The number of games to feature a point spread of -3. Three-point favorites are 63-53-12 against the spread over the past three regular seasons.

• 127: The number of games that have featured a point spread of -7 over the past three seasons. Seven-point favorites are 57-57-13.

96-59-2: Wisconsin’s record against the spread in second halves since 2005.

• 57-97-5: USC’s record against the spread in second halves since 2005.

• 183: The number of games won straight-up by point-spread underdogs last season. That’s 17 fewer than 2016 but still the third-most outright upsets in the past 13 years.

• 12: The number of outright upsets pulled by Wyoming coach Craig Bohl over the past five seasons, the most in the nation.

• 55.86: Average total points scored in regular-season games in 2017, the lowest since 2011.

• 442: The number of regular-season games that stayed under the total in 2017, the most since at least 2005. There have been more unders than overs in four consecutive seasons.

• 423: The number of underdogs that covered the spread during the 2017 regular season, the second-most in at least the past 13 seasons and behind only 2016.

***Statistical data from the following resources were used in this article:

ESPN Stats and Information

BetLabSports.com

TeamRankings.com

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here